Replayed from 173 status changes in 28 sessions since 7 Sep · 203 days to the exam · built from 8 weeks of pace
Today
6% · 21 of 378 steps
4% three weeks ago · 0% on 7 Sep · aimline says 15% today
Pace, last 8 weeks
2.8 steps a week
needs 6.7 to be 67% by 24 May · weeks ran +8 · +3 · +4 · +1 · 0 · +5 · 0 · 0
Behind aimline. 5 consecutive weeks under the aimline: the rule says change the teaching, not wait.
Stalled. Two weeks running with blocks and no steps gained.
Stuck topics. Developing and not moving despite repeated work: R2.1 (12 touches, 5 weeks), T1.2 (9 touches, 7 weeks), W1.2 (8 touches, 8 weeks), R3.1 (4 touches, 5 weeks), W3.2 (3 touches, 5 weeks).
Sign in to see the forecast cone and the topics in flight.
Booked days off are shaded: no steps are expected on a day with no GCSE English Language block, and the cone routes around them. The cone stops at 100% because the syllabus does; it does not know that later topics may be harder than the ones already taught.
| Week ending | Actual | Aimline | Likely low | Most likely | Likely high |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 2% | 2% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-20 | 3% | 4% | — | — | — |
| 2026-09-27 | 4% | 5% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-04 | 4% | 7% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-11 | 4% | 9% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-18 | 4% | 11% | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-25 | 6% | 13% | — | — | — |
| 2026-11-01 | 6% | 14% | — | — | — |
| 2026-11-02 | 6% | 15% | — | — | — |
Green grows from the bottom. The yellow band is what is in flight: 13 developing now. A flat picture is a stalled week; green shrinking is a regression. 109 topics have not been opened.
| Week ending | Not started | Gap | Developing | Secure | Exam-ready |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | 118 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-20 | 117 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-27 | 114 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 110 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-10-11 | 107 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-10-18 | 107 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-10-25 | 102 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-11-01 | 102 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 2026-11-02 | 102 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| Week | Blocks | Sessions | Touches | Opened | Steps | Aimline | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-W377 Sep | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +8 | 1 ahead | W3.1 ↑, W1.1 ↑, W1.2 ↑, T1.2 ↑ … |
| 2026-W3814 Sep | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +3 | 3 behind | W3.1 ↑, T5.1 ↑, W4.3 ↑, W2.4 ↑ … |
| 2026-W3921 Sep | 3 | 4 | 19 | 4 | +4 | 5 behind | T1.1 ↑, R3.1 ↑, R3.1 ↓, R3.1 ↑ … |
| 2026-W4028 Sep | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | no blocks | T5.2 ↓, R2.2 ↓, W1.5 ↓, W2.2 ↓ |
| 2026-W415 Oct | 3 | 5 | 21 | 1 | +1 | 18 behind | V4.1 ↓, R2 ↓, R1 ↑ |
| 2026-W4212 Oct | 3 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | stalled | evidence only |
| 2026-W4319 Oct | 3 | 5 | 27 | 6 | +5 | 27 behind | R1.1 ↑, R5.2 ↑, R3 ↓, R3.2 ↓ … |
| 2026-W4426 Oct | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | nothing logged | evidence only |
| 2026-W452 Nov | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | stalled in progress | evidence only |
Touches are status changes where nothing moved: evidence logged against a topic that stayed where it was. Opened counts topics taught for the first time. Natural process limits from 7 weeks: a week above 11.87 or below 0 is a signal, anything between is routine variation.