← GCSE English Literature

Progress and forecast

Replayed from 155 status changes in 28 sessions since 7 Sep · 191 days to the exam · built from 8 weeks of pace

Today

2% · 9 of 615 steps

1% three weeks ago · 0% on 7 Sep · aimline says 15% today

Pace, last 8 weeks

0.6 steps a week

needs 13.5 to be 67% by 12 May · weeks ran +1 · +1 · +2 · 0 · +1 · 0 · 0 · 0

Stalled. Stalled 3 weeks running: blocks on the timetable, nothing moved up.

Behind aimline. 9 consecutive weeks under the aimline: the rule says change the teaching, not wait.

No new topics. No new topic opened for 3 weeks with blocks; 196 topics have never been taught.

Sign in to see the forecast cone and the topics in flight.

Where she is, where she's headed

Coverage since 7 Sep with the aimline 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May everything secure · 67% aimline · 13.5 steps a week 2% today exam · 12 May
coverage, day by dayaimline: 0% on 7 Sep to 67% on 12 Mayeverything securedays off

Booked days off are shaded: no steps are expected on a day with no GCSE English Literature block, and the cone routes around them. The cone stops at 100% because the syllabus does; it does not know that later topics may be harder than the ones already taught.

Chart data
Week endingActualAimlineLikely lowMost likelyLikely high
2026-09-131%2%———
2026-09-201%4%———
2026-09-271%6%———
2026-10-041%8%———
2026-10-111%10%———
2026-10-182%11%———
2026-10-252%13%———
2026-11-012%15%———
2026-11-022%15%———

How the colours have moved

Topics by status, week by week 0 51 103 154 205 9 developing 8 gap 188 not started 6 Sep 20 Sep 4 Oct 18 Oct 1 Nov 2 Nov
exam-readysecuredevelopinggapnot started

Green grows from the bottom. The yellow band is what is in flight: 9 developing now. A flat picture is a stalled week; green shrinking is a regression. 196 topics have not been opened.

Chart data
Week endingNot startedGapDevelopingSecureExam-ready
2026-09-062050000
2026-09-131992400
2026-09-201982500
2026-09-271981600
2026-10-041916800
2026-10-111907800
2026-10-181897900
2026-10-251897900
2026-11-011897900
2026-11-021888900

Week by week

Steps gained each week against the pace needed 0 3 7 +4 W37 +1 W38 +1 W39 +2 W40 0 W41 +1 W42 0 W43 0 W44 0 W45 upper limit 4.17 lower limit 0
WeekBlocksSessionsTouchesOpenedStepsAimlineReading
2026-W377 Sep3385+48 behindP1.01 ↑, K5 ↑, K1 ↑, K3.2 ↑ …
2026-W3814 Sep33152+118 behindP1.02 ↑, K4.2 ↑, P1.02 ↓
2026-W3921 Sep33171+129 behindP1.02 ↑
2026-W4028 Sep35222+239 behindU2 ↓, K2.6 ↑, S1.1 ↑, S1.2 ↓ …
2026-W415 Oct331900stalledP1.04 ↓
2026-W4212 Oct35241+161 behindK3.1 ↓, K3.1 ↑
2026-W4319 Oct352300stalledevidence only
2026-W4426 Oct30100nothing loggedevidence only
2026-W452 Nov31200stalled in progressS1.3 ↓

Touches are status changes where nothing moved: evidence logged against a topic that stayed where it was. Opened counts topics taught for the first time. Natural process limits from 8 weeks: a week above 4.17 or below 0 is a signal, anything between is routine variation.

How this is worked out
  1. The line is coverage replayed from every status change, one point per day, in steps: one topic moving up one level.
  2. The aimline runs from coverage on the first tracked day to the goal (every step on exam day unless the parent set another). Two weeks under it is a warning; four weeks running is the rule to change the teaching.
  3. The cone re-runs the future 5,000 times. Each run first re-draws which of the last 8 weeks count, then gives every future week the pace of one of those, scaled to the blocks the timetable has that week. Days off carry no blocks. The shaded band is where 70% of runs land; the paler band, 90%.
  4. Stalled is a week with blocks and sessions but no steps. Behind is a week that ended under the aimline. Touched, unmoved counts evidence logged against a topic that stayed put.
  5. The cone does not know that later topics may be harder, that exam-ready needs revision-phase work, or about holidays nobody has booked. It narrows as weeks are added.